Stock Market Index
What is a Stock Market Index?
A stock market index, or market index, is a metric designed to capture movement
in a certain defined market e.g. top 100 shares by market capitalisation. In
this way the index is able to be used as a gauge for how prices are generally
moving in a market. Most indexes are calculated on a market cap basis, so
another way of looking at it is as the weighted average change in prices,
cumulated over time. Thus from looking at a chart of an index you can see how
the market is trending. Most long term stock market index charts show a long
term upward trend (albeit with some periods of not-so-upward movements). A stock
market index can be used for benchmarking, trading signals, as an underlying for
ETFs or derivatives, and even as an economic indicator.
How does it relate to Markets?
Indexes are a critical market analysis tool, they allow a quick assessment of
what the market is doing. Often when a commentator says something like the US
market dropped (e.g. S&P
500), or Chinese stocks jumped x% (e.g. Shanghai
Stock Exchange Composite Index), they are referring to an index. And of
course various indexes affect each other, for example the US stock market
movements will often be mirrored in other markets around the world, so if the Dow
Jones is up 3% over night then the ASX
All Ordinaries will probably also rise the next day, (and the NZX
50, Nikkei 225,
Hang Seng,
etc). Indexes can even be somewhat self-predicting sometimes - especially for
those who study technical analysis. For example some market analysts will
monitor the progress of an index against a 50 or 200 day moving average in order
to gauge the trend; they may make decisions based on a crossing of the moving
average, as an example. There are also indexes that measure the volatility of a
market e.g. the VIX.
Index Calculation/Methodology
Calculation of the individual index can vary significantly, particularly for
more innovative indices, and those that track more unique markets and
instruments e.g. volatility indexes, house price indexes, strategy indexes (e.g.
buy-write options trading strategy index), and even fundamentally weighted or
socially weighted indexes. The traditional stock market index is basically
calculated like holding a portfolio of stocks. Most of them are weighted by
market capitalisation (and usually on a free-float basis i.e. considering the
stocks that are effectively on the market vs strategic holdings, majority
holders etc). Thus it's really quite simple to create a stock index, just pick a
base period e.g. today, and a base amount e.g. 100, then determine the criteria
for the index e.g. top 5 stocks, and determine the weighting e.g. market
capitalisation. Then simply, as each day passes calculate the market
capitalisation weighted (i.e. market cap of stock A divided by total of market
cap of all stocks in index) return (i.e. price at end of day 1 divided by price
at end of day 0); and multiply this by the previous day's index value. So for
example, if the index was 100 yesterday and today the weighted average return is
1% then the new index value will be 101.
Investment Strategy and Instruments
As noted, market indexes can be used as part of informing investment strategy,
but they can also become part of strategy execution itself. For example a lot of
indexes have ETFs on them (Exchange Traded Funds), which are tradeable units in
investment funds that use passive investment strategy (i.e. simply invest in
stocks by the same weighting as the index and receive market returns). ETFs can
be used for long or short views on the markets, for example in the US there are
ETFs which produce a return similar to shorting an index, or going long an index
- or even going twice long (so that you gain twice of the upside - and
downside). You can also buy and sell options and futures on indexes, and swap
interest rate payments for market based returns.
Sources and further reading:
World Federation of
Exchanges - Statistics
About.com - What is a Stock Index?
wikinvest - How stock indices work
Dow Jones Indexes
MSCI
NASDAQ - Stock Market Indices
Graph Library:
Metric
- Stock Index
Original Source:
http://www.econgrapher.com/encyclopedia-stockindex.html
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