GDP - Gross Domestic Product
What is GDP?
A country's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is the total market value of all final
goods and services produced in a country.
It is one of the most widely used metrics for gauging the health of an economy.
It is also used as a proxy for standard of living because the two are correlated
(i.e. higher wealth will lead to higher levels of living standards - certainly
at least to the extent that the average wealth level makes it possible to enjoy
the basics of life such as food, shelter, education and healthcare etc).
How does it relate to Markets?
GDP is also a key indicator used in reference to investing and markets as the
growth or percentage change in GDP i.e. (GDP1/GDPt-1)-1 serves as a useful
indicator of economic activity and thus will flow through into company earnings.
For example in a recession i.e. a period of negative GDP growth (a positive
percent change in GDP is usually referred to as economic growth), companies will
come under pressure and earnings will usually fall. This is because GDP is a
summary of output and spending.
Components: GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)
The next thing to look at is the components. This is critical for drilling into
what exactly is driving economic growth and assessing the make up of an economy.
Quickly, the components are basically: C=Consumption, I=Investment,
G=Government, X=Exports, M=Imports (sometimes the trade balance is simply
referred to as “net exports”).
Calculation methods
GDP is calculated in three ways: the product (output) approach, income approach,
and expenditure approach. The expenditure approach is the most commonly used
approach in compiling national accounts. The equation above is from the
expenditure approach.
Impact on markets
GDP growth is generally good for markets, and GDP growth that is higher than
expected is usually a positive for market (however it may also indicate
overheating of an economy, which may result in tightening of monetary policy).
Negative GDP growth is bad for the stock market, as are GDP growth results that
are lower than expected.
Sources and further reading:
Australian
National Accounts: Concepts, Sources and Methods
Concepts
and Methods of the United States National Income and Product Accounts
European
Parliament, Policy Department Economic and Scientific Policy: Beyond GDP Study
Is
Life Getting Better : What is GDP?
Investor
Words - GDP definition
How
to Read GDP Reports
Graph Library:
Metric
- GDP
Original
Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/encyclopedia-gdp.html
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