China International Trade Review - December 2010
China just released
its December trade data, which allows an insight into some interesting trends,
and of course a look at the full-year and quarterly data. For the month of
December China saw exports reach $154.2 billion and imports grow further to a
record $141.1 billion. On an annual basis China saw exports reach $1,578.5
billion for the year of 2010 (up 31% vs 2009), and imports at $1,393.9 billion
(up 39% vs 2009).
So, really, 2010 was a pretty good year as far as China
was concerned on the trade front, both exports and imports made a strong
recovery from 2009 and even made ground on 2008 (exports up 10% vs 2008, imports
up 23%). Probably the most interesting bit was the pace at which imports grew,
and sure some of it was from higher commodity prices, but a lot of it is also
just raw growth in import spending.
It was a similar pattern on a quarterly basis, with exports and imports both up
vs Q3 (about 3% and 4% respectively), and vs Q4 2009 (about 25% and 29%
respectively). So the overall message is a strong recovery in trade volumes, and
with imports growing faster than exports.
The trend of imports growing faster than exports is a good theme for pretty much
everyone, it is potentially the beginning of China starting to pull its weight
even more in stoking the global economy, but to be sure this is yet a long road
in the transformation and evolution of the Chinese economy.
Sources
Econ Grapher Analytics www.econgrapher.com
China Customs www.customs.gov.cn
Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/10jan11-chinatrade.html
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